Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 57.510645 65.511385 73.749075 82.830988 92.530195 102.548097 113.646955
2025-07-13 47.394769 59.053292 71.640004 86.100712 102.125046 119.219963 138.720118
2025-07-20 40.904275 54.586725 69.886934 87.980981 108.532732 130.917304 156.916524
2025-07-27 34.725416 49.573369 66.744316 87.594828 111.798359 138.632066 170.270974
2025-08-03 29.586816 45.142185 63.721258 86.837767 114.196833 144.999084 181.783386
2025-08-10 25.971756 42.161704 62.074372 87.383502 117.834689 152.558551 194.459176
2025-08-17 22.382001 38.825869 59.679087 86.757119 119.865326 158.083440 204.654364
2025-08-24 19.669239 36.365232 58.153520 86.998265 122.770216 164.501696 215.779600
2025-08-31 16.848301 33.458312 55.823529 86.041933 124.067900 168.904784 224.458082
2025-09-07 15.167270 32.007532 55.278388 87.238197 127.917423 176.278821 236.579231
2025-09-14 13.778650 30.846001 55.018255 88.719633 132.060886 183.966449 249.048652
2025-09-21 11.832327 28.610662 53.128403 87.950841 133.295171 188.075571 257.215827
2025-09-28 9.685818 25.814131 50.299105 85.839978 132.785361 190.060839 262.882291
2025-10-05 9.229534 25.826954 51.496844 89.142175 139.197084 200.541647 278.796186
2025-10-12 8.467550 25.210761 51.712465 91.066331 143.810009 208.796838 292.024142
2025-10-19 7.235383 23.576360 50.301003 90.671431 145.359255 213.223901 300.589517
2025-10-26 6.066546 21.882433 48.682558 89.899180 146.348996 216.907884 308.216716
2025-11-02 5.294048 20.863349 48.043195 90.455955 149.053383 222.714041 318.425530
2025-11-09 4.394124 19.412585 46.617916 89.816875 150.117151 226.421477 326.035297
2025-11-16 3.746150 18.402421 45.839290 90.062914 152.330817 231.560789 335.397267
2025-11-23 2.999544 16.981440 44.276341 89.087137 152.844200 234.503958 342.018607
2025-11-30 2.634313 16.459694 44.209850 90.307711 156.329054 241.236349 353.346171
2025-12-07 2.340589 16.071802 44.348034 91.819057 160.204965 248.471320 365.308133